On the Origins of Stormy Daniels’s $130K Settlement Payment, and the Probability of the Disbursement Records Matching the Settlement Amount by Random Chance

On the Origins of Stormy Daniels’s $130K Settlement Payment, and the Probability of the Disbursement Records Matching the Settlement Amount by Random Chance

On the Origins of Stormy Daniels’s $130K Settlement Payment, and the Probability of the Disbursement Records Matching the Settlement Amount by Random Chance
— Read on viewfromll2.com/2018/03/11/on-the-origins-of-stormy-danielss-130k-settlement-payment-and-the-probability-of-the-disbursement-records-matching-the-settlement-amount-by-random-chance/

Poker (BOO!)



While I expound on Chess as a analogy for everything it is not at all the analogy in my head. My go-to analogy is always, always, Poker. Poker before it got cool. Poker before TV.

Not just one game over and over and over.

A game that changes with each new pot. Spit in the Ocean. Mexican Sweat. Five Card Stud. Seven Card Stud. Sometimes even Five Card Draw, but not as often. And of course, sometimes, Hold ‘Em. But it should be realized at the outset that Hold ‘Em takes the traditional variables that remove Poker from the traditional realm of the statistically predictable games and makes Poker something odds can once again be placed on, and therefore more easily bet on like a horse race.

Because a statistician watching a game of Seven Card Stud  has as much chance at predicting the winner by using magic as he would using math. Texas Hold ‘Em does, indeed save some secrets in the hole cards, but in a shoe of one deck that is beautifully more illuminated than the solidity of statistical predictions on Blackjack.

And since it appears almost everyone alive dates their entire experience with poker to some time after “Rounders” you wouldn’t understand what an exceptional opening generalization poker really is.



good advice from Sessions to Yates, which he should take

Sessions did not “testify,” per se, yesterday. He offered a defense of himself, free of the annoyance of cross-examination and kept his consistently partisan blinders as high as always.

I have no doubt that he does not question his own integrity.

That was believable. And not shocking.

I think this Jeff Sessions was actually the best counter-argument to yesterday’s Jeff Sessions. It’s oddly on point. (And prescient, as well.)

Let’s Do the Rope-a-Dope Again

MHA day and I really needed me a little Rope-a-Dope illustration to get me in the right frame of mind.

It’s a beautiful thing.

I decided that I’d post a slightly fuller picture for the record; and for the many who have no idea what “rope-a-dope” is.

This is Ali “losing” all but the last 7 seconds of 8 rounds.

That’s the fucking rope-a-dope, folks.

“Paper Planes” (A.K.A. Only M.I.A. could make “Some some some I some I murder. Some I some I let go” completely adorable.)






I’m not shitting you. It is somehow adorable. Don’t believe me? I start it right there. Watch those four lines and tell me it’s not cute.


“Sometimes I think, sitting on trains”

“Every stop I get to I’m clocking that game”

(I relate)

sitting on trains MIA

es gibt keinen falschen zug



acapella plus a MC-505

Photo Credit /Attribution: By Interscope Records (Interscope Records) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)%5D, via Wikimedia Commons

Let’s Do It This Way (“DON’T” for non-dancers)


A completely unnecessary – but quick version of my first unnecessary “DON’T” dance post.

In looking at this from as close to a 3rd-person Point of View -[POV] – I realized how much this, to a non-dancer, probably seems like something just slightly more impressive than mime; while https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/lp-EO5I60KA“>”Thinking Out Loud,” definitely an amazing dance with awesome choreography actually seems impressive.

So, while I have added about a second of the extra-ish last moments before a non-dancer can see how fucking awesome this is –

(there’s a whole fence part that was really tough for me to cut out but the “wow starts at:)

(Knock!) (Knock!) (Knock!)

“…on my hotel door, I don’t even know if she knows what for…”

part, and non-dancers,

yes, take out The Matrix” parts that will be supplanted with something that is realistic, live, that is an easy blend of the rest of the dance

Still, this shows a quick and fundamental part – although in many ways not the hardest parts of this dance at all, but a good combo of crazy legwork/footwork and the deft, deceptively easy looking minutiae of seemingly slight moves that seem almost all personality and, as I said, sort of “mime,”-

but that combine the best of dance from pre-Elvis (fucking James Brown) through the best dancers of today.

There are also some clearly non-dance moments in this 45 second clip where, again, for non-dancers, there is essentially no dancing at all, but any even shit dancer won’t take that into account at all. It’s very easy to move during those spaces, live. The funny thing is that this is the most “impressive” part of the dance as far as looks go, but the odd thing is that cutting this out for a friend who I realized wouldn’t see all the really difficult parts of this, that despite the awesome, crazy legwork in this, last part of the video, this part is by far the least intimidating part of the dance, so perhaps attempting to look at it through fresh eyes will have a good effect on me, as well.

-(It doesn’t take a dancer to appreciate a greater payoff for a less painful price.)-

No matter how crazy any of the legwork looks it’s not that hard.

No, it is not hard. At all.